By Joanna Clark, San Juan Capistrano

There have been five major extinctions over the last 4.6 billion years, according to the BBC Nature’s article “Big Five Mass Extinction Events.”

The conditions that caused these extinctions occurred over millions of years, not a few hundred years.

With the arrival of our Industrial-Age in 1750 C.E., we have, in less than 300 years, set ourselves on a course that could very well result in a sixth mass extinction.

Prior to the beginning of the Industrial Age, atmospheric CO2 remained relatively stable at 280 parts per million (ppm), according to NASA Global Climate Change. As our demand for coal, oil and gas intensified, we released more and more CO2 back into the atmosphere, exceeding the ability of the natural carbon sinks to maintain equilibrium. This has resulted in an exponential increase in atmospheric CO2, from 280 ppm to 410 ppm, an increase of 130 ppm above the natural level that existed for hundreds of thousands of years before human civilization arrived, according to NOAA.

As our planet’s natural carbon sinks became overwhelmed by rising CO2 levels, the environment began to destabilize, causing a gradual warming of the planet. This warming has driven climate change, leading to the collapsing of our glaciers, ice shelves, and the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets, originally held back by the ice shelves.

The consequences listed above have shown an increase in storm severity, ocean acidification, sea-level rise, flooding, extreme heat waves, drought and wildfires, according to NASA.

The risk of wildfires increases exponentially during extended heat waves and droughts. They release CO2 and reduce the number of trees available to absorb CO2, “a double whammy for the atmosphere,” said the Associated Press in Wildfires Deliver a Double Whammy, from 2008.

Today, our continued development as a species depends upon our destruction of the planet’s natural environment. Yet our future depends on the survival of that very same environment. This is the paradox that faces not only climate negotiators, but each of us, individually.

We are facing a catastrophic future if we cannot put our many irrational and tribal differences aside and work as one to solve the paradox that threatens each of us.

Tremendous diversity has evolved among us over the past 250,000 years, but in that diversity, there is great strength and hope. We can become an unstoppable force for change and the common good, if we put our irrational and tribal differences aside and unite as one to solve the paradox we created.

About The Author Capo Dispatch

comments (15)

  • Joanna Clark summarizes the climate situation well. In addition to the Big 5 extinction events, at least 25 other, less intense extinction events have happened too in just the last 500 million years. They tell a similar story and also that we do not need to get to the Big 5 category before severe damage is done to the environment that supports life on earth. San Juan Capistrano will suffer along with the rest of the world from sea level rise, drought, wildfires, warming oceans that will change the offshore waters, beaches gone, and increased heat especially in places behind hills that keep sea breezes out. This is not a good future for SJC, OC, California or the world.

  • Give the other side’s climatologists a listen/view; they acknowledge the planet IS warming, but they don’t share the climate change alarmism.

    In the early 1970s, the alarmists said we were entering a new ice age. Fear sells, brings government grants and subsidies, but it often shuts down debate. Before jumping on the climate alarmist train, one should verify it is not headed, as the alarmism of the past was, over the cliff.

  • Nice try David, but PragerU is not an academic institution, and it does not offer certifications or diplomas. PragerU (“Prager University”) is a 501(c)3 non-profit conservative digital media organization that creates videos on various topics from a conservative perspective. The videos are posted on Youtube, and usually feature a speaker who gives a mini-lecture for about five minutes.[1]

    Likewise, John Stossel is an American consumer television personality, author, and libertarian pundit, known for his career on both ABC News and Fox Business Channel. He is not a scientist

    William “Will” Happer is an American physicist who has specialized in the study of atomic physics, optics and spectroscopy. He is a well-known climate-change denier, which is no doubt why PragerU invited him to speak.

    Since you like YouTube so much, here are a few involving real climate scientists.

    • Climate change predictions have repeatedly failed, why should a citizen uncritically accept their theories?

      @ Joanna Clark

      I’m astonished Joanna that for one who has repeatedly touted her credentials, you seem unable to distinguish between a news interviewer who doesn’t purport to be a climate expert and the real experts he is interviewing. These include Pat Michaels and climate clan high priest, William Moomaw of Tufts U. Pat Michaels categorically states there is NOT a 97% consensus that a warming planet is going to harm people. William Moomaw, part of the climate clan cult, acknowledges that climate models have been wrong, an admission that doesn’t seem to filter down to the faithful hoi polloi.

      No comment on climate scientist, Judith Curry, who once bought into the climate religion until Climate Gate demonstrated that co-religionists were cooking the books? How about how her heresy resulted in the priesthood attempting to squash her and other scientific heretics’ views including putting their jobs in jeopardy?

      In a similar vein, it is irrelevant that Prager U. doesn’t offer degrees or diplomas, that is not their purpose. YOU, Joanna, attack the platform that an expert speaks from, not the actual content of the expert’s words or views. Hence, Richard Lindzen and William Happer are recognized atmospheric scientists that don’t agree with the hysteria the climate cult wishes to promote and Prager U. simply informing the public of an alternative view that one side is attempting to squash. You provided nothing to address their statements either here or in the past, you simply dismiss them because you disagree with their position. They become for you and the rest of your cult, not real scientists and this based solely on their refusal to knuckle under to the priestly orthodoxy of the climate change cult.

      When climate change models demonstrate a predictive capacity and its professional adherents are willing to honestly debate the issues and answer the tough questions (and cease attempting to crush dissent and cook the books), then I’ll take their theories a little more seriously; until then, I remain unconvinced one way or the other.

  • Joanna Clark is right on the mark. If you would like to take positive action to combat climate change join Citizens’ Climate Lobby. The website is shown above. Our local chapter meets the second Saturday of every month at St. Andrews by the Sea UMC in San Clemente. Please visit our website.

  • Mr. Davidson uses old information to back himself up. This is not the way science works. We move along with new data to test all hypotheses. His old example of climate cooling was based on good science 59 years ago: we knew that warming periods in the last million years were followed by cooling periods as the relationship of Earth to Sun changed. While that still happens, we now have multiple lines of evidence, backed by theory, that human emissions increase Earth’s warmth, as has been well documented by thousands of independent scientists the world over. The globe is warming–its atmosphere, land, and oceans are all warming at variable rates. You, Mr. Davidson, should plan to deal with it because it is already here in San Juan Capistrano and growing more intense. It will be hotter, summers will be longer, wildfires will happen, rainstorms will be more intense with more water meaning greater floods, beaches will be eroded, certain illnesses will intensify, and homes (maybe even yours) and businesses will suffer. This is not alarmism, it is the basis for good planning based on thorough evidential analysis. Deny global warming at your own risk, but please do not drag us along with you.

  • Do NOT question the Climate Change Cultists, they have spoken and you must obey.

    @ Jere Lipps

    Your statement, “His old example of climate cooling was based on good science 59 years ago…”

    So you’re acknowledging this “good science” was wrong, dead wrong, but you demand the citizens of today to not only uncritically subscribe to the climate change cult, but to adjust their lifestyles and open their wallets to support the latest fad of “good science”.

    “The globe is warming…”

    Yes, and that is acknowledged by “climate skeptics”, those professional atmospheric scientists who simultaneously don’t share in the hysteria and are therefore branded as heretics by climate cultists. As the earth in the last 200 years has come out of the recent mini ice-age, naturally, by definition, it warms. What caused the Roman warm period or the medieval warm period where temperatures were even warmer than today? What caused the subsequent mini ice-age? Climate does change…and always has. It is true that CO2 levels are rising and this lends some support for AGW, but as atmospheric scientist, Will Happer, says, the climate is so complex and has so many variables, it is virtually impossible to predict what it will do even in the near future (who can predict the amount of cloud cover?).

    Your statement, “Deny global warming at your own risk, but please do not drag us along with you.”

    How ironic you should make such a claim. I advocate listening to both sides and making an informed decision; you seem like you’re trying to shut down all debate and to have only YOUR co-religionists’ side presented to the exclusion of other professional views points.

    I haven’t made up my mind on the issue but am suspicious when one camp declares victory, feels it necessary to doctor the data in favor of its theory and descends into ad hominem attacks and ostracism of those professionals who dare to question or ask honest, legitimate questions of the climate cultist orthodoxy.

    As for who is dragging who, it is YOUR camp that demands society adjust its activities and lifestyle to suit YOUR theory, not me.

  • Mr. Davison:

    I appreciate you coming clean about your objections to Climate Change (Global Warming). It’s the money, as usual. You are right too, it is about money but not exactly as you think. Now, if you will grasp how science works and its recent findings, you would at least be concerned about the predictions and on-going warming on your wealth and well being.

    You do not promote discussion by calling 97% of American scientists names. That does nothing to help. It’s merely a distraction. Science is not a religion; it is not based on beliefs, it’s based on facts. That is a huge difference. No religion, no fake news, no alternative facts, no silly charges of hoaxes, settled science, conspiracies, and no slander; just the real facts.

    The science was not wrong 50 years ago. It was right on, as I noted. The process has been happening for 100s of millions of years and it goes on today. Based the detailed documentation of that process in the last 100 years by scientists, we thought that the globe might cool as it had a number of times following warm periods, if all else remained similar. And it will at least a little. Instead of being wrong, additional data was acquired by scientists about the rate and facts of warming and its cause by increasing CO2 in the atmosphere due to human emissions. That data dictated that this warming would happen regardless of the previous discoveries about that process of cooling. We learned a lot more over the next decades. You only delay serious discussions by not using current data. That leads nowhere.

    I am not really concerned about you. By the time much of this comes to pass in greater intensity, you and I will be dead. I object to your messages, not because they are so off track on the science, but because they disregard the future of our children and grandchildren, and indeed society in general.. It’s easy to type out disruptive messages.; much harder to consider the science carefully. Don’t do that–it’s not fair to dismiss the 15,000 scientific papers/year that are documenting the warming without discussing the consequences with your children. You could take them to Balboa Island where the residents are fighting against sea level rise, to the beaches at San Clemente that have to be refilled with $20 million worth of sand to keep them, to several OC Parks that burned up last year, to flooded areas like near Santa Barbara, to see orchards and fields drying up due to the lack of water in your local agriculture, or watch the videos of flooding in Houston, or of hurricanes in Puerto Rico, or any number of other local and national disasters that are attributed to global warming. Then tell them how many millions or billions of dollars those events cost. Let them make up their own minds–it is their future not yours, not mine.

    We do not have to wait to see if those predictions come true in the future. Warming is happening now and it endangers property and lives. You should join us in a decent discussion of the issues. Get the real facts, not the statements of those your refer to as skeptics. They too are worried mostly about money, earnings and old fashioned jobs. If they and we pay attention to what is happening with warming and how to deal with it, we may have plenty of money from good investments.

    Would you, if 9 out of 10 doctors you consulted said you’d die of cancer, ignore them? Would you tell them that their research was a hoax? Or would you listen to them, then ask for the very latest in treatments, not something 50 years old. So it is with climate warming. We have a lot of ways to deal with it now. True, it will cost money, but that money will go to workers, manufacturers, engineers, planners, doctors, and others concerned with our society and infrastructure. All of this might ever enrich people like you and me, if we are invested in those. If you are into oil or coal, your will be in trouble, most likely, if you live a long time.

    Rational discussion is welcome, Mr. Dadison. I wish you and your family the very best in the coming years. I even hope you are right, because that’s the simple way out. But unfortunately, as a scientist myself, I clearly see that the future will be different than the past when we grew up. It will likely not be better. So, we should plan for it. You and me! And our kids.

  • Dr. Jere Lipps is right on!

    He has over 50 years of experience as a previous professor who has studied and taught geology, paleontology and climatology, at well-known universities such as UC Davis and UC Berkeley.

    He therefore has the knowledge to make informed decisions on this topic, without relying on the denial of others and their false data.

    Climate change is happening now, so you all need to be prepared and face reality because it is only going to get worse over time, not better. Denial will no longer help you, but the facts will.

  • David Davidson raised some interesting issues, despite some of his “facts” being based on old, outdated, information.

    There is an excellent book, which I am reading myself, which I highly recommend. The book is ”The War on Science: Who’s Waging it, Why it Matters, and What We Can Do About It.” by Shawn Otto. The book is well documented.

  • Climate alarmists attempt to shut down debate on the issue and eschew answering honest questions.

    @ Jere Lipps

    Your statement, “It’s the money, as usual.”

    The money is only part of it; the obfuscation, the attempts to shut down debate, the reluctance to answer honest questions, the refusal to view or even entertain the objections of professionals that don’t share the alarmism, the consistent practice of misstating the positions of others, and the constant appeal to authority regarding the 97% myth which is false (and assuming you have the credentials Denise Fachko claims you have, then you would know this myth is false).

    Did you watch any of the very short videos I posted? Did you see the part where Pat Michaels, after acknowledging that there is a consensus that the planet is warming, states unequivocally that there is NOT a consensus that this is dangerous or harmful? What of his contention that he had lived through eight environmental apocalypses including the population bomb, global cooling, acid rain, the disappearance of the ozone layer, etc.? When environmentalist alarmism continues to fail in its predictive capacity, shouldn’t the populace rightly be suspicious of the next alarmist projections?

    Did you hear climate alarmist, William Moomaw, acknowledge that climate models have been totally wrong?

    What of climate scientist Judith Curry, who was once in the climate alarmist camp until climate gate (where top climate scientists were strategizing how to squash debate on the issue) erupted?

    Do you, Mr. Lipps, think it appropriate for scientists to attempt to squash opposing scientific opinions? Do you think that contributes to the success and promotion of science?

    Your statement, “You do not promote discussion by calling 97% of American scientists names.”

    When the statements and attempts by alarmists no longer resemble an appeal to religious orthodoxy, and they treat non conforming science members with respect, then it will be time to respond in kind.

    Your statement, “The science was not wrong 50 years ago. It was right on, as I noted.”

    Forgive me Mr. Lipps but you can’t have an ice age and alarmist global warming simultaneously, THAT is not science. Perhaps what you meant to convey was that scientists were operating on the best scientific knowledge of the time and if so, then I’d have sympathy for your position. You would still have to acknowledge, however, that they were dead wrong, we did NOT, in fact, go into an ice-age.

    Your statement, “…we thought that the globe might cool as it had a number of times following warm periods…”

    As you are well aware, we just came out of “the little ice-age” (roughly 1300-1750), not a period of warming. And while we’re on the subject, I’m still waiting to hear what the causes for the Roman and medieval warm periods were.

    Your statement, “You only delay serious discussions by not using current data.”

    It should have been apparent that I was not using data at all but simply pointing out how wrong the alarmists of the past were and cautioning today’s alarmists (and those who follow them lemming-like), that silencing professional dissent is not a road to predictive success.

    Your statement, “…or any number of other local and national disasters that are attributed to global warming.”

    Yes, attributed to, ie., assuming that which you have yet to prove. There is NOT a consensus that all these disasters are the result of man-made CO2 in the atmosphere and when you ask that folks be able to make up their own minds (a practice I fully endorse but which climate alarmists do not), after falsely, or at least with a lack of conclusive evidence, informing them that these events are essentially man-made, it is the climate alarmists that do the public a disservice.

    Your statement, “Warming is happening now and it endangers property and lives.”

    Warming IS happening, it usually does when you come out of an ice-age and this warming has been pretty good for mankind. The warming is NOT the issue, all agree on it, it is the extent of the danger, a danger that is being exaggerated by climate alarmists, or so it appears to me.

    Your invitation, “You should join us in a decent discussion of the issues.”

    I am, right here, but be warned that I do not consider it a discussion when one side claims “the science is settled” and to repeatedly appeal to a false narrative that there is a 97% consensus that man is in danger from this warming and further, that we should take drastic measures to counter it.

    Your statement, “They too are worried mostly about money, earnings and old fashioned jobs.”

    If professional climate scientists were only interested in “old fashioned jobs”, then they would be going along with the climate orthodoxy instead of feeling it necessary to leave the world of academia like the aforementioned Judith Curry. She mentioned that many of her colleagues felt as she does but feared reprisals from the priesthood of climate alarmist camp.

    Your statement, “True, it will cost money…”

    Those committed to this “settled science” should either, spend their own money in solving the problem they feel is real, or be a little more open to entertaining the objections of the professional climatologists whose views they wish to suppress.

    “If you are into oil or coal…”

    I’m into nuclear power which produces no GHGs and provides the best chance, globally, of cutting these emissions but apparently, enough members of the climate alarmist camp would rather see GHGs rise than employ nuclear power, thereby undermining their own narrative.

    Again, I haven’t made up my mind on the issue, the rising CO2 levels lend some credence to the theory, but when alarmists attempt to suppress dissenting opinions even going so far as to strategize how they will achieve this (climate gate), I become suspicious. Convince me by the weight of your scientific arguments and your success in countering contrary arguments, not just assuming what you have yet to prove.

    I wish you well Mr. Lipps.


  • Why do climate alarmists fear the free marketplace of ideas?

    @ Joanna Clark

    Your statement, “…despite some of his “facts” being based on old, outdated, information.”

    Such as?

    The below is a blog by the climatologist, Judith Curry:

    From another site we read:

    “Judith Curry, one of climate science’s most vocal critics, is leaving academe because of what she calls the poisonous nature of the scientific discussion around human-caused global warming.”


    “Where many scientists say that humans are the primary cause of warming, Curry believes natural forces play a larger role. She also believes that uncertainty around climate models means we don’t have to act so quickly and that current plans would do little to mitigate warming. She also questions the assertion made by a majority of climate scientists who believe humans have significantly contributed to climate change.”

  • 3/19/2018

    50 years ago, David, today’s technology didn’t exist. Sure, we had some mainframe computers, but the top-of-the-line desktop computer was an IBM Selectric typewriter with, if you were lucky, a Hewlett-Packard 35 scientific pocket calculator. The first functional Personal Computer was the IBM 5150, introduced in 1981. Prior to this time everything had to done with a pad, pencil and a slide-rule. Your cell phone today has more memory than the initial IBM 5150.

    It took us more than 300,000 years for us to achieve powered flight, but consider this, 66 years after our first powered flight at Kitty Hawk, we had eradicated polio, split the atom, walked on the moon and sent spacecraft to other planets. We achieved these feats because of science. Yet, today, that same science is under attack. “We’re seeing a titanic battle between the power of science and the power of money—and money is winning.” McKibben, (2015). This is indeed unfortunate, as Marcia McNutt, president of the US National Academy of Sciences, points out—“Science is not a body of facts, but rather a structured approach to uncovering the fundamental laws that govern the natural world. … policy-makers who choose to ignore those fundamental laws imperil us all, for the laws of nature will always trump the laws of man.” Shawn Otto, War on Science (2018).

    Lawrence M. Krauss, theoretical physicist, cosmologist and director of the Origins Project at Arizona State University, points out further that “…there are forces at work coming from many directions that serve to undermine the simple proposition that public policy should be based on rational reflections on sound empirical evidence. From efforts to obstruct the teaching of evolution in schools, to the removal of fluoridation in water, to restrictions on vaccination, restrictions on other scientific research and related attacks on the efficacy of the scientific enterprise itself, and most recently wholesale and broadly organized efforts to deny the science associated with human-induced climate change….” Shawn Otto, War on Science (2018).

    Because of science, our world is changing, often at whirlwind speeds, and for some, that can be pretty scary. Unable to assimilate this change, they find a comfortable place in the past and use old data to support their denial.

    You are, as Dr. Jere Lipps previously pointed out, “stuck in the past, relying on old data,” and that “is not the way science works. We move along with new data to test all hypotheses.

    You keep referring to Judith Curry, so you might want to consider the following:“Twenty-five years ago the Union of Concerned Scientists and more than 1700 independent scientists, including the majority of living Nobel laureates in the sciences, penned the 1992 “World Scientists’ Warning to Humanity.” These concerned professionals “called on humankind to curtail environmental destruction and cautioned that change in our stewardship of the Earth and the life on it is required, if vast human misery is to be avoided.” You can read the full article here

    In November 2016, a second plea was published in the international journal BioScience. The article, titled “World Scientists’ Warning to Humanity: A Second Notice” is supported by “15,372 signatories, representing 184 countries, urging global leaders to save the planet from environmental catastrophe.” EcoWatch (2017). You can read the full article here

    The foundation of climate change science did not happen last week, last month or last year. It began back in the days of Aristotle, when a pupil of his, Theophrastus, told how the draining of marshes had made a particular locality more susceptible to freezing, and speculated that lands became warmer when the clearing of forests exposed them to sunlight.

    The BBC published a fascinating “Brief History of Climate change” in 2013. You can read it on the BBC website here.

    Whether the current global climate change was caused by the actions of humans, David, should no longer be a topic of debate. The consensus that humans are causing recent global warming is shared by 90%–100% of publishing climate scientists according to six independent studies. Their results are consistent with the 97% consensus reported by Cook et. al. (Environ. Res. Lett. 8 024024) “based on a review of 11,944 peer-reviewed research paper abstracts.”

    In 2016, the iconic cosmologist Stephen Hawking, who passed away this past Wednesday, “warned that climate change was the gravest threat facing humanity.” In September he also joined 377 members of the National Academy of Sciences in signing an open letter that began, “Human-caused climate change is not a belief, a hoax, or a conspiracy. It is a physical reality. ¶Our fingerprints on the climate system are visible everywhere. They are seen in warming of the oceans, the land surface, and the lower atmosphere. They are identifiable in sea level rise, altered rainfall patterns, retreat of Arctic sea ice, ocean acidification, and many other aspects of the climate system. Human-caused climate change is not something far removed from our day-to-day experience, affecting only the remote Arctic. It is present here and now, in our own country, in our own states, and in our own communities.” Joe Romm, ThinkProgress (2018).

    The enormity of global warming can be daunting and dispiriting to the non- scientifically-inclined individual, but there are things we can do, both individually and as a group, to slow and reverse climate change.

    Problem 1: Deforestation, the loss of forest through urban sprawl, land clearing for agriculture, wildfire (California lost 1,381,405 acres in 2017), disease or timber harvest, presents a negative impact on the environment. Our forests help mitigate climate change by consuming the carbon dioxide we put into the air, while breathing out oxygen. Tropical rainforests, like those in the Amazon, play a vital role in the water cycle by providing rain to the region. Rainforest Alliance (2016).

    Solution 1: Plant a tree. In April 2016, the people of Bhutan planted 108,000 trees. China has mobilized 60,000 soldiers to plant 6.6 million hectares (16,308,955.18 acres) of new trees this year.

    Problem 2: Fossil fuels.

    Solution 2A: Mandate the adoption of the Sebastopol Solar Ordinance statewide, preferably nationwide. The ordinance requires all new commercial or residential buildings, and specific alterations, additions and remodels require the installation of a photovoltaic energy generation system. Any addition to an existing commercial building which increases the square footage by 1,800 square feet or greater and all commercial remodels, alterations or repairs that are made involving demolition, remodel or repair of more than 50 percent of the structure.

    Solution 2B: Instead Of Trump’s Wall, Let’s Build A Border Of Solar Panels. If private investors “were to construct the equivalent of a strip of arrays one-third the width of a football field south of the entire U.S.-Mexico border, wider in some areas and narrower in others, with a wide berth allowed for populated areas and stretches of rugged terrain, San Diego, Tijuana, Mexicali, Tucson, Phoenix, El Paso, Ciudad Juarez, San Antonio and Monterrey would immediately benefit.” It is possible that “sufficient energy might be produced to also supply Los Angeles, Las Vegas, Albuquerque, Dallas and Houston. For the U.S. cities, it would be a way to obtain cheaper and cleaner energy than they can from other sources.Huffington Post (2017).

    Solution 2C: Replace “Cap and Trade” with a revenue neutral Carbon Tax. “Pricing carbon emissions through a carbon fee is one of the most powerful incentives that governments have to encourage companies and households to pollute less by investing in cleaner technologies and adopting greener practices. A carbon fee is a charge placed on greenhouse gas pollution mainly from burning fossil fuels. This can be done by placing a surcharge on carbon-based fuels and other sources of pollution such as industrial processes.David Suzuki Foundation

    Utilize a portion of the tax revenue to provide low-interest loans to companies like Charge Point to expand their electric vehicle (EV) charger networks. Utilize the balance to fund EV rebates on vehicles having a range of 200 or more miles per charge. Make the rebates a sliding scale, with low-income EV purchasers getting the larger rebate.

    Solution 2D: Ban hydraulic fracturing statewide, preferably nationwide, and provide free training for workers to transition from fossil fuel to renewable energy programs.

    These are just a few of the things we could do to slow climate change. Yes, it will require change, but we reduced smog through science and change. We reduced acid rain through science and change. We reduced ozone depletion in the upper atmosphere through science and change. We can do the same with climate change.

    It’s time to chose. What will it be?

    • Science is advanced when there is a healthy skepticism of any theory or supposition being proposed, especially if a governmental action will be based on this theory.

      @ Joanna Clark

      Your statement, “Yet, today, that same science is under attack.”

      Science is not under attack simply because one set of scientists don’t subscribe to the theory of another set. Science is not served when scientists themselves jump onto the bandwagon of the latest in a long line of alarmist scares nor is the failure to challenge such scares beneficial to the public.
      If science is under attack, it is under attack from those who wish to silence the voices of dissenting, professional opinions. When one group claims victory and proceeds as if no further evidence is required and then strategizes to squash their peers’ views, then the practice of science is undermined.

      As to using old data, did you bother to read what I wrote in response to Jere Lipps above? Here was my reply to this charge,

      “It should have been apparent that I was not using data at all but simply pointing out how wrong the alarmists of the past were and cautioning today’s alarmists (and those who follow them lemming-like), that silencing professional dissent is not a road to predictive success.”

      I’m looking at the track record of alarmists and it is not a good one. Alarmists predicted an ice-age was coming, they were wrong. They attempted to frighten the public over the ozone layer, what happened to that issue? What happened to the fear-mongering over acid rain? The population bomb? Lawn chemicals, cell phone radiation, power lines affecting health, etc., etc., etc. Yeah, science tools are better now but won’t that always be the excuse when alarmist predictions fail and a new scare is needed?

      You can view more of these climate-related false prophecies at this site:

      See Dr. Roger Pielke Jr. testifying before the Senate that current natural disasters cannot be attributed to global warming as climatistas are want to do. Begin at the 1-minute mark.

      In the same Senate testimony, see Dr. Roy Spencer demonstrate that the IPCC’s own climate models for earth’s average temperature have been wrong. Begin just after the 34-minute mark.

      You’ve spoken a lot on rising sea levels, here is Nobel Laureate, Ivar Giaever, demonstrating that sea levels have risen 20 cm in the past century, just as it had risen 20 cm each of the two centuries before the last, ie., there is no unusual rise in sea levels. Begin at the 18:25 mark.

      I’ll conclude for now but I’ll take up the issue of the fictional 97% consensus in my next installment.

    • Recall climate gate where alarmists strategized to silence their science peers

      Regarding the faux 97% consensus, have you actually looked at the report this “consensus” comes from, the one YOU posted? Here is a quote from that very report, the one that claims there is a 97% consensus:

      “We find that 66.4% of abstracts expressed no position on AGW, 32.6% endorsed AGW, 0.7% rejected AGW and 0.3% were uncertain about the cause of global warming. Among abstracts expressing a position on AGW, 97.1% endorsed the consensus position that humans are causing global warming.”

      So, in a report that is the basis for this 97% consensus narrative, we find that fully two thirds of the papers in their study actually had NO position on AGW. Only 97.1% of the 32.6% (of the total) expressed agreement with AGW as defined in the study and yet somehow, this translated into a full 97%. In addition, none of the abstracts examined were written by Richard Lindzen who has been publishing papers on climate since the 1960s. Could it be that they intentionally left him (and possibly others) out precisely because he doesn’t go along with the alarmist message? These alarmists have already been caught attempting to silence the voices of their dissenting peers in what has become known as “climate gate”. Here, from an article in Forbes:

      “Then, in the aftermath of the ClimateGate e-mail scandal, 265 APS members circulated an open letter saying: “By now everyone has heard of what has come to be known as ClimateGate which was and is an international science fraud, and the worst any of us have seen…We have asked APS management to put the 2007 statement on ice until the extent to which it is tainted can be determined, but that has not been done. We have also asked that the membership be consulted on this point, but that too has not been done.” Of the 265 letter signatories, many or most are fellows of major scientific societies, more than 20 are members of national academies, two are Nobel laureates, and a large number are authors of major scientific books and recipients of prizes and awards for scientific research.”

      In addition, any scientist who holds to the position that man contributes to the warming, no matter how small, would be considered a part of this consensus regardless of how strongly he or she disagreed with the proposition that warming was dangerous, unprecedented, or something mankind could successfully deter in a world whose population is growing.
      Indeed, Dr. Spencer in the aforementioned testimony before the Senate, stated that he as well as most of his fellow climate “skeptics” would be included in that 97%, yet he strongly disagrees with the alarmists. See him state this about minute mark 8:40 (I noticed my link to the Senate hearing failed. Type in “Warmists Stunned by Roger Pielke in Senate Testimony on Climate Change” on Youtube).

      Since 1998, 31,000 scientists (more than 9,000 of them with PhDs) have signed a public petition that there is no convincing scientific evidence that human release of GHGs is causing or will cause, in the foreseeable future, catastrophic heating of the earth.

      From the Forbes article quoted above:

      “While real polling of climate scientists and organization memberships is rare, there are a few examples. A 2008 international survey of climate scientists conducted by German scientists Dennis Bray and Hans von Storch revealed deep disagreement regarding two-thirds of the 54 questions asked about their professional views. Responses to about half of those areas were skewed on the “skeptic” side, with no consensus to support any alarm. The majority did not believe that atmospheric models can deal with important influences of clouds, precipitation, atmospheric convection, ocean convection, or turbulence. Most also did not believe that climate models can predict precipitation, sea level rise, extreme weather events, or temperature values for the next 50 years.”

      The article goes on to describe a 2010 survey of broadcast journalists where 63% of the 571 respondents felt warming is mostly cause by natural, not human causes.

      A 2012 survey conducted by the American Meteorological Society found that only one in four agreed with the IPCC claims that humans are primarily responsible for recent warming and only 30% said they were worried.

      A 2008 canvas of Canadian scientists associated with the APEGGA) found that 68% disagreed that the science is settled on this issue and only 26% attributed global warming to the burning of fossil fuels or other human activities.

      Again from Forbes, this quote:

      “A 2009 report issued by the Polish Academy of Sciences PAN Committee of Geological Sciences, a major scientific institution in the European Union, agrees that the purported climate consensus argument is becoming increasingly untenable.”

      Concluding this installment, we find that:

      1)The climate models have been demonstrably wrong and many, if not most scientists acknowledge this. Understanding this, why should the public support undermining our economy to deter the prophesied catastrophic events made by those with such a poor track record?

      2)Although CO2 levels have risen rapidly this past 40 years (currently around 400 ppm), CO2 levels during one ice age were 3000 ppm. If one concludes high levels of CO2 necessitates extreme warming, how, with drastically higher CO2 levels (3000 vs 400) did we experience an ice age?

      3)Why do climate alarmists keep ignoring the fact that the Roman warm period and the medieval warm period were periods warmer than today yet the cause for this warmth cannot be attributed to man?

      4)Why do some alarmists feel it necessary to game the system to make their case (climate gate)?

      Joanna, just something to mull over until I respond to your recommendations above.

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